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Predictive method of casting slab quality based on just-in-time learning algorithm |
ZHAO Ji-min1, HE Yang1, LIU Jian-hua1, ZHENG Zhong2, YOU Da-li3 |
1. National Engineering Research Center for Advanced Rolling and Intelligent Manufacturing, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China; 2. School of Materials Science and Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China; 3. Ferrous Metallurgy, Montanuniversitaet Leoben, Leoben 8700, Austria |
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Abstract Traditional models for the prediction of casting slab quality were mostly built using the global modeling method, which had poor self-adaptive ability and unsteady prediction accuracy. In this study, a new method based on the just-in-time learning algorithm was proposed for the prediction of casting slab quality. The main feathers of the method included the local model based on the just-in-time learning algorithm was built to replace the traditional global model, and the just-in-time modeling method make the prediction model more adapted to the continuous casting process with complex production scenarios and various working conditions. According to the time-varying characteristics of continuous casting production data, the time weighting factor was introduced into the similarity calculation to strengthen the correlation between the sample data and the data to be predicted, which was more beneficial to increasing the model accuracy for the prediction of casting slab quality. Taking the triangular crack of No.65 high-carbon steel slab in a steel plant as an example, the application of just-in-time learning algorithm in the construction of local model for casting slab quality prediction is illustrated, and the prediction results are compared with the global model for casting slab quality prediction. The results showed that the performance of the local model was better than that of the global model based on the assessment indexes. The prediction accuracy of the global model was 65%, while that of the local model was increased to 90%. The effectiveness of the local model for the prediction of casting slab quality was confirmed by comparing the prediction results.
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Received: 08 October 2022
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