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钢铁企业碳市场启动实施阶段履约策略研究

Research on compliance strategies of Chinese iron and steel enterprises in implementation phase of carbon market

  • 摘要: 为助力中国碳市场钢铁行业扩围启动实施阶段(2024—2026年)企业低成本履约,基于生态环境部最新碳配额分配规则,构建包含碳排放强度系数、配额盈缺量及碳价的最优履约成本模型,以先进(S1)、中等(S2)、高排放(S3)3类典型钢铁企业为研究对象开展模拟分析。结果表明,S1企业因排放绩效优于行业基准(碳排放强度偏离度X不低于20%)形成配额盈余,S2企业(X 为-10%~15%)存在少量配额缺口,S3企业(X不超过-10%)面临较大补足压力;对比“逐年补齐”“一次补齐”“超额购买”3种交易策略,“一次补齐”策略可通过锁定2025年度低价(85元/t),显著降低S2、S3企业资金占用与总履约成本,分别实现成本节约139.35万元、445.5万元,经济性最优。基于研究结论,从企业层面提出差异化履约方案,行业层面建议搭建协同交易平台,政策层面倡导完善配额分配与碳金融配套机制,为钢铁行业高效推进低碳转型提供实操路径与决策参考。

     

    Abstract: To support enterprises in achieving low-cost carbon compliance during the 2024—2026 expansion and transition period of the iron and steel industry in China's carbon market,an optimal compliance cost model incorporating carbon emission intensity coefficient, carbon quota surplus and deficit volume as well as carbon price is established in accordance with the latest carbon quota allocation rules issued by the Ministry of Ecology and Environment. Three typical types of iron and steel enterprises including low-emission enterprises (S1), medium-emission enterprises (S2) and high-emission enterprises (S3) are selected for simulation analysis. The results indicate that S1 enterprises obtain carbon quota surpluses due to their superior emission performance against industrial benchmarks with the carbon emission intensity deviation degree higher than 20%. S2 enterprises with a deviation degree ranging from -10% to 15% face minor carbon quota deficits, while S3 enterprises with the deviation degree lower than -10% bear prominent pressure for quota supplementation. Compared with three carbon trading strategies of annual supplementary purchase, one-time supplementary purchase and over-purchase strategy, the one-time supplementary purchase strategy locks the low carbon price of 85 yuan per ton in 2025. It effectively reduces capital occupation and total compliance costs of S2 and S3 enterprises, with cost savings of 1.393 5 million yuan and 4.455 million yuan respectively, which presents the optimal economic efficiency. Based on the research findings, differentiated compliance schemes are proposed at the enterprise level,a collaborative trading platform is suggested to be constructed at the industrial level, and improvements on quota allocation systems and supporting carbon financial mechanisms are advocated at the policy level. This study provides practical approaches and decision-making references for the efficient low-carbon transformation of the iron and steel industry.

     

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