生命周期评价二元形态下钢铁产品碳核算矛盾及优化路径
Contradictions and optimization paths of carbon accounting for steel products under dual forms of life cycle assessment
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摘要: 钢铁产品的碳足迹核算依赖生命周期评价方法(life cycle assessment,LCA),该方法在行业应用中已分化为2种功能指向不同的形态,其中分析型LCA锚定实物物料流,服务于合规核查与工艺评估;宣传型LCA则以碳资产流转与低碳信号传递为目标,核算弹性较大。2种形态的混用在实践中引发了核算口径冲突和低碳声明可信度下降的问题,而现有研究对此尚未给予充分关注。本文重点分析宣传型LCA的运行机制与潜在风险,分析型LCA在文中作为对照基准,后者成熟的制度框架和核算原则为判断宣传型LCA的偏差提供了参照。以世界钢铁协会质量平衡法与落基山研究所证书交易法为研究对象,文章揭示了2类工具在规则缺位情形下的风险放大机制。前者通过内部额度调配将减排属性在不同产品间重新分配,后者则依托凭证流转实现减排权益与实物钢材的完全解绑。研究发现,这些工具在规范使用时可通过碳溢价反哺工艺技改,但若缺乏制度约束,则容易演变为漂绿工具,反而抑制实质性低碳投资。基于国内外规则对比与典型案例分析,本文提出刚性划分2类LCA应用边界、完善宣传型LCA核算的披露要求、建立企业三台账管理机制、设置过渡期逐步退出虚拟核算等优化路径。核心判断为2类LCA的冲突不在技术层面,而在功能定位;解决之道不是否定宣传型LCA的市场价值,而是通过制度设计让它回到应有的边界之内运行。Abstract: Carbon footprint accounting for steel products relies on Life Cycle Assessment (LCA). In practice, LCA applications in the steel industry have diverged into two functionally distinct forms. Analysis-LCA is anchored in physical material flows and serves compliance verification and process evaluation, whereas Message-LCA targets the transfer of carbon assets and low-carbon signalling, with considerable accounting flexibility. The concurrent use of these two forms has led to inconsistent accounting practices and undermined the credibility of low-carbon claims, a problem that has not received sufficient attention in existing literature.This paper focused on the operational mechanisms and potential risks of Message-LCA, with Analysis-LCA serving as a benchmark throughout the discussion as its well-established institutional framework and accounting principles provided a reference point for identifying the deviations inherent in Message-LCA. World Steel Association's mass balance approach and the Rocky Mountain Institute's Book & Claim system as the primary objects of analysis, the paper examined how these two tools amplified risks in the absence of adequate regulation. The former reallocated emission reduction attributes among different products through internal credit transfers, while the latter achieved a complete decoupling of emission reduction credits from physical steel products via certificate transactions. The findings indicate that these tools can incentivise process improvements through carbon premiums when properly regulated, but in the absence of institutional constraints, they tend to become vehicles for greenwashing and may discourage genuine low-carbon investment. Based on a comparative analysis of domestic and international regulatory frameworks and typical case studies, this paper proposes several optimisation pathways, i.e. drawing clear application boundaries between Analysis-LCA and Message-LCA, strengthening disclosure requirements for Message-LCA calculations, establishing a triple-ledger management system for steel enterprises, and setting a transition period with a gradual phase-out of virtual accounting tools. The core argument is that the conflict between the two LCA forms does not lie in technical details, but in their fundamentally different functional orientations. The solution is not to deny the market value of Message-LCA, but to design institutional rules that keep it operating within its proper boundaries.
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