融合数值模型与机器学习的板坯连铸弯月面流速快速预测
Rapid prediction of meniscus flow velocity in slab continuous casting mold by integrating numerical modeling and machine learning
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摘要: 快速准确地判断不同工艺参数下结晶器弯月面流速,对预防卷渣的发生具有重要意义。高效连铸的核心是提高拉速,而对于高温、多物理场交互耦合作用的连铸过程,实时直接测量结晶器内流速场极为困难。以连铸数智化转型和高效绿色发展为驱动,本文建立了结晶器熔体流动与水口吹氩耦合数值模型,依据对弯月面区域熔体流动的精确数值模拟,提出了基于液位高度差的结晶器弯月面最大流速预测的拟合公式。此外,为了实现在线预测弯月面流速的目标,尝试将24种不同工艺参数下仿真实验结果作为数据集,基于遗传算法,支持向量机和数值模拟提出了一种构建实时弯月面流速场预测模型的新方法GA-SVM。模型训练完成后,GA-SVM可以直接根据拉速、吹氩量和水口浸入深度预测弯月面流速场,在快速得到流速分布特征的同时避免复杂的数值模拟计算。通过误差图评价了模型预测精度,GA-SVM模型的R2达到0.93。GA-SVM具有较高预测精度,可作为板坯连铸弯月面流速场数字孪生的代理模型,在快速得到弯月面流速分布特征的同时避免了复杂的数值模拟,是面向连铸结晶器数字孪生建模的一条有效途径。Abstract: Accurate and rapid prediction of meniscus flow velocity under different process conditions is crucial for preventing slag entrapment in continuous casting. Due to the complexity of high-temperature, multi-physics coupling, real-time measurement of the mold flow field in mold is challenging. The paper develops a numerical model coupling mold melt flow and SEN argon blowing. Based on precise simulations, a fitting formula is proposed to predict the maximum meniscus velocity using liquid level differences. To achieve real-time meniscus velocity prediction, a GA-SVM model is developed, which integrates genetic algorithms, support vector machines, and numerical simulations using 24 sets of simulation data. The GA-SVM model achieves an R2 of 0.93, providing high accuracy while avoiding complex numerical calculations. It enables rapid velocity prediction while avoiding complex simulations and serves as a surrogate model for digital twin applications in continuous casting.
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