投审稿入口

基于流动特征参数与BP神经网络的中间包内夹杂物去除率预测

Prediction of removal rate of inclusions in tundishes based on flow characteristic parameters and BP neural network

  • 摘要: 中间包浇注过程中,夹杂物去除率是衡量中间包流场优化效果的关键指标。水模拟和数值模拟在模拟夹杂物迁移去除时分别存在操作误差显著、颗粒流模型复杂和算力成本高等问题,是制约中间包流场优化结构确定的瓶颈。为快速准确预测不同结构中间包的流场优化效果,本文基于BP神经网络的中间包夹杂物去除率预测模型,通过学习抓取不同中间包流动特征参数间的特征规律以预测不同粒径夹杂物去除率。由网格搜索算法寻优发现,当隐藏层节点数目n=13,学习率η=0.08时,模型测试集均方根损失函数值达到最小;采用遗传、粒子群优化、模拟退火等3种算法对权值和偏置进行优化,发现PSO-BP模型优化效果最佳,平均命中率达92.29%。为进一步验证预测模型的生产实用性,与水模型及数学模型组合,模型在5%强度的高斯噪声下预测结果与实验结果吻合良好。

     

    Abstract: During the casting process of the tundish, the removal rate of inclusions is a key index used to measure the optimization effect of the flow field of the tundish. Water model and numerical simulation methods respectively have significant operational errors, complex particle flow models and high computing power costs when simulating the migration and removal of inclusions, which are the bottlenecks restricting the determination of the optimized structure of the tundish flow field. To predict the flow field optimization effect of different structures of tundishes quickly and accurately, this paper proposes a prediction model for the removal rate of inclusions in tundishes based on BP neural network. By learning the characteristic rules among the flow characteristic parameters of different tundishes, the removal rate of inclusions of different particle sizes can be predicted. Through the grid search algorithm optimization, it is found that when the number of hidden layer nodes n=13 and the learning rate η=0.08, the root mean square loss function value of the model test set reaches the minimum. Three algorithms, genetic algorithm, particle swarm optimization, and simulated annealing, are used to optimize the weights and biases, and it is found that the PSO-BP model has the best optimization effect, with an average hit rate of 92.29%. To further verify the production practicability of the model, it is combined with the water model and mathematical model, and the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the experimental results with 5% Gaussian noise.

     

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