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基于黏菌优化算法与蒙特卡罗模拟的古滑坡体稳定性分析

Stability analysis of ancient landslide based on slime mould algorithm and Monte Carlo simulation

  • 摘要: 依托重庆万州港临近古滑坡体水下炸礁爆破工程,针对岩土体力学参数随机性与爆破累积损伤因素,提出了一种结合声波测试技术、黏菌优化算法(SMA)与蒙特卡罗(MC)模拟的综合可靠度分析方法。该方法利用声波测试量化岩体劣化程度,再引入SMA算法搜索临界滑动面,最后通过MC模拟评估边坡失效概率。结果表明,天然工况下古滑坡体稳定性系数Fs为1.261,与传统极限平衡法计算结果相近,表明SMA用于滑面搜索具有一定的可行性,在本文模型条件下,边坡处于稳定状态;边坡岩体物理力学性质随爆破频次增加呈非线性劣化,前3次爆破对岩体的损伤最为显著;受多次爆破扰动影响,边坡稳定性系数由1.261降至1.081,降幅达14.2%;MC模拟显示,爆破后边坡失效概率Pf平均值达13.68%,失稳风险显著增加,现场需采取加固措施。该方法已成功应用于工程实践,可为同类涉水古滑坡工程提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Based on the underwater reef blasting project near an ancient landslide in Wanzhou Port,Chongqing,a reliability analysis method for slope stability was proposed by considering the randomness of rock-soil mechanical parameters and the cumulative damage effect of blasting. The method integrates acoustic testing technology,the Slime Mould Algorithm(SMA),and Monte Carlo(MC)simulation. Acoustic testing was first used to characterize the deterioration degree of the rock mass.Then,SMA was introduced to search for the critical slip surface. Finally,MC simulation was employed to evaluate the failure probability of the slope. The results show that the stability coefficient Fs of the ancient landslide under natural conditions is 1.261,which is close to that obtained by the traditional limit equilibrium method,indicating that SMA is feasible for slip surface search. Under the present model conditions,the slope is generally in a stable state. the physico-mechanical properties of the rock mass deteriorate nonlinearly,and the first three blasting events cause the most significant damage. Under repeated blasting disturbance,the stability coefficient decreases from 1.261 to 1.081,with a reduction of 14.2%. MC simulation shows that the average failure probability Pfincreases to 13.68% after blasting,indicating a markedly increased risk of instability,and reinforcement measures should be taken on site. This method has been successfully applied in engineering practice and can provide a reference for the stability evaluation of similar water-involved ancient landslide projects.

     

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