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拟合回归模型在中厚板厚度控制中的应用

Application of fitting regression model in thickness control of medium and heavy plate

  • 摘要: L2系统辊缝计算模型是热轧中厚板厚度控制的基础,尤其是采用反馈压力AGC控制时,L2系统辊缝计算模型设定精度会影响中厚板头部厚度和通板厚度,进而影响中厚板成材率。某2 680 mm半连轧粗轧机采用压力反馈式AGC控制系统,存在轧制不锈钢中厚板厚度精度低的问题。为此,利用中间坯轧制过程数据和测厚仪实测冷态厚度数据进行多元拟合回归,针对异板差形成原因选取16项指标进行中间坯冷态厚度的相关性分析和通径分析。结果表明:各因素对中间坯冷态厚度的影响存在共线效应,设定辊缝、轧辊单位轧制块数、板坯出炉温度3个因素是中厚板轧制过程中异板差的主要影响因素。基于中间坯冷态厚度的3个关键影响因素进行多元拟合回归建模,将拟合回归模型用于R7机架辊缝修正。经大量生产实践,拟合回归模型能够大幅提高R7机架辊缝设定精度,使中厚板厚度命中率从84.47%提高至98.92%。

     

    Abstract: The roll gap calculation model of L2 system is the foundation for controlling the thickness of hot rolled medium and heavy plates. Especially when employing the feedback pressure AGC control, the accuracy of roll gap calculation model of L2 system directly affects the thickness of the head and the whole plate, consequently affecting the yield of medium and heavy plates. A 2 680 mm semi-continuous roughing rolling mill utilizes the pressure feedback AGC control system, but faces the problem of low thickness accuracy in rolling stainless steel medium and heavy plates. To address this problem, a multi-factor regression analysis was conducted using process data from the intermediate billet rolling process and actual thickness data measured by the thickness gauge. Sixteen indicators were selected for analysis to determine the correlation and path analysis of the thickness of the intermediate billet in cold state. The analysis results indicate a collinear effect of various factors on the thickness of the billet in cold state. The main influencing factors identified in the process of rolling medium and heavy plates are the roll gap, number of rolled pieces per unit of the roll, and slab discharge temperature. A multivariate fitting regression model was developed based on these key influencing factors to correct the roll gap of the R7 stand during the rolling process. Extensive production practices have demonstrated that the application of the fitting regression model can significantly enhance the setting accuracy of the R7 stand roll gap. This improvement has led to an increase in the overall thickness accuracy rate of medium and heavy plates from 84.47% to 98.92%.

     

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